Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 225.008800 253.434203 285.057536 323.028715 367.622628 418.624451 481.786709
2024-10-13 178.022562 214.032504 257.606319 314.901841 389.290192 484.068049 616.382212
2024-10-20 154.697257 193.913162 244.028322 314.061168 411.531501 545.741695 750.733214
2024-10-27 133.249414 172.108415 223.774457 299.310172 410.140719 572.281030 838.569106
2024-11-03 125.654201 167.169440 224.589273 312.474349 448.678350 661.181183 1039.032191
2024-11-10 120.249102 164.297249 227.445394 328.285433 492.857585 766.119141 1292.137443
2024-11-17 111.624380 155.718752 220.742952 328.158521 510.992495 830.717377 1489.466352
2024-11-24 102.303443 145.132022 209.754250 319.523087 513.037844 866.675825 1639.782054
2024-12-01 94.441558 136.017325 200.063341 311.660678 514.898902 902.024158 1798.045762
2024-12-08 90.964112 133.332615 200.203343 320.290644 547.690902 1003.334033 2136.106268
2024-12-15 86.422861 128.550083 196.409416 321.434388 566.273905 1079.132301 2438.950107
2024-12-22 81.122394 122.119298 189.270014 315.638164 570.162687 1123.808045 2676.362516
2024-12-29 77.090932 117.614304 185.245989 315.611356 586.784607 1203.131060 3050.924542
2025-01-05 72.062802 111.110740 177.256002 307.226650 584.712682 1238.558576 3312.008097
2025-01-12 68.684606 107.154760 173.413033 306.451614 599.037806 1317.792307 3753.713379
2025-01-19 63.656479 100.032180 163.329663 292.145025 580.769236 1308.832573 3885.210363
2025-01-26 62.799983 100.111055 166.374495 304.910240 627.243445 1485.871699 4814.203945
2025-02-02 62.272808 100.717168 170.421459 320.236045 682.764245 1706.050096 6092.187882
2025-02-09 59.871911 97.778615 167.473880 320.113055 699.598766 1815.190274 6958.931769
2025-02-16 56.697609 93.238510 161.097447 311.743392 693.710063 1850.743474 7487.850814
2025-02-23 53.838266 89.127028 155.293748 304.121353 688.774539 1888.845478 8069.070682
2025-03-02 52.893591 88.528711 156.416419 312.487400 729.072016 2095.961839 9856.594347
2025-03-09 51.251711 86.513802 154.528585 313.596027 749.176697 2237.760064 11406.983435